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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

50%

Guimaraes

2.02

25%

Draw

4.04

26%

Rio Ave

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.71

1.09

Rio Ave xG

50%
25%
26%
GuimaraesDrawRio Ave

2.02

50%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

33%

Guimaraes

2.99

20%

Rio Ave

5.04

Win to Nil

17%

Guimaraes

6.04

5%

Rio Ave

19.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.7 11.8 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.1 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.618
λ Away (xG) 1.095
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.140
Guimaraes attack strength 1.118
Guimaraes defence strength 0.980
Rio Ave attack strength 0.981
Rio Ave defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64