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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

48%

Guimaraes

2.07

26%

Draw

3.83

26%

Rio Ave

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.49

1.00

Rio Ave xG

48%
26%
26%
GuimaraesDrawRio Ave

2.07

48%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

37%

Guimaraes

2.73

23%

Rio Ave

4.43

Win to Nil

18%

Guimaraes

5.65

6%

Rio Ave

17.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 8.3 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.4 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.2 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.488
λ Away (xG) 1.005
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.250
League avg away goals 1.186
Guimaraes attack strength 1.131
Guimaraes defence strength 0.946
Rio Ave attack strength 0.896
Rio Ave defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64