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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Guimaraes Win
64%
1.55
23%
4.34
13%
7.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
14.5%
Home win
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.71
Guimaraes xG
Total xG
2.31
0.60
Nacional xG
GuimaraesDrawNacional
1.55
64%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
7.94
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.70
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
55%
1.82
18%
5.53
Win to Nil
35%
2.83
2%
43.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.9 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.711
λ Away (xG)
0.601
Total xG
2.312
League avg home goals
1.358
League avg away goals
1.109
Guimaraes attack strength
1.140
Guimaraes defence strength
0.896
Nacional attack strength
0.604
Nacional defence strength
1.105
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 14