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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Mon 8 Dec 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

32%

Guimaraes

3.08

27%

Draw

3.73

41%

GIL Vicente

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.58

1.38

GIL Vicente xG

32%
27%
41%
GuimaraesDrawGIL Vicente

3.08

32%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

25%

Guimaraes

3.96

30%

GIL Vicente

3.32

Win to Nil

8%

Guimaraes

12.20

12%

GIL Vicente

8.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 10.5 7.2 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.1 12.6 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.5 7.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.200
λ Away (xG) 1.376
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.318
Guimaraes attack strength 1.171
Guimaraes defence strength 0.971
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.075
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.774
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46