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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

17%

Guimaraes

5.87

23%

Draw

4.37

60%

FC Porto

1.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.7%

Away win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.62

1.79

FC Porto xG

17%
23%
60%
GuimaraesDrawFC Porto

5.87

17%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

1.66

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

17%

Guimaraes

5.98

44%

FC Porto

2.29

Win to Nil

3%

Guimaraes

35.10

26%

FC Porto

3.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 13.0 11.7 6.9 3.1 1.1
1 6.1 10.8 9.7 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 2.5 4.5 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.4
3 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.830
λ Away (xG) 1.788
Total xG 2.618
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 1.246
Guimaraes attack strength 1.048
Guimaraes defence strength 1.070
FC Porto attack strength 1.340
FC Porto defence strength 0.556
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51