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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

37%

Guimaraes

2.69

25%

Draw

4.05

38%

Benfica

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.92

1.47

Benfica xG

37%
25%
38%
GuimaraesDrawBenfica

2.69

37%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

23%

Guimaraes

4.34

24%

Benfica

4.25

Win to Nil

9%

Guimaraes

11.65

9%

Benfica

11.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.0 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 7.8 11.5 8.4 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.3 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.7 4.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.448
λ Away (xG) 1.467
Total xG 2.915
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.202
Guimaraes attack strength 1.243
Guimaraes defence strength 0.823
Benfica attack strength 1.484
Benfica defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63