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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

53%

Guimaraes

1.88

25%

Draw

3.94

22%

AVS

4.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.95

1.11

AVS xG

53%
25%
22%
GuimaraesDrawAVS

1.88

53%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.65

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

33%

Guimaraes

3.03

16%

AVS

6.27

Win to Nil

18%

Guimaraes

5.71

3%

AVS

29.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.7 10.7 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.4 6.0 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.836
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.945
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.322
Guimaraes attack strength 0.996
Guimaraes defence strength 1.077
AVS attack strength 0.778
AVS defence strength 1.396
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45