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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

61%

Guimaraes

1.63

21%

Draw

4.74

18%

AVS

5.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

3.16

1.05

AVS xG

61%
21%
18%
GuimaraesDrawAVS

1.63

61%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

5.69

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

35%

Guimaraes

2.85

12%

AVS

8.24

Win to Nil

22%

Guimaraes

4.65

2%

AVS

46.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.0 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.7 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.109
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 3.157
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.162
Guimaraes attack strength 1.290
Guimaraes defence strength 1.238
AVS attack strength 0.728
AVS defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19