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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 2 Jan 2026

18:45

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

21%

GIL Vicente

4.84

25%

Draw

3.99

54%

Sporting CP

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.57

1.65

Sporting CP xG

21%
25%
54%
GIL VicenteDrawSporting CP

4.84

21%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

19%

GIL Vicente

5.21

40%

Sporting CP

2.51

Win to Nil

4%

GIL Vicente

25.25

22%

Sporting CP

4.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 12.6 10.4 5.7 2.4 0.8
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.2 5.3 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.3
3 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.920
λ Away (xG) 1.651
Total xG 2.571
League avg home goals 1.381
League avg away goals 1.275
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.895
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.869
Sporting CP attack strength 1.491
Sporting CP defence strength 0.744
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50