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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

20:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

25%

GIL Vicente

4.03

21%

Draw

4.69

54%

Sporting CP

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

0 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

3.38

2.04

Sporting CP xG

25%
21%
54%
GIL VicenteDrawSporting CP

4.03

25%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

13%

GIL Vicente

7.73

26%

Sporting CP

3.80

Win to Nil

3%

GIL Vicente

31.14

14%

Sporting CP

7.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 7.0 7.1 4.8 2.5 1.0
1 4.5 9.3 9.5 6.5 3.3 1.4
2 3.0 6.2 6.3 4.3 2.2 0.9
3 1.4 2.8 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4
4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.336
λ Away (xG) 2.045
Total xG 3.381
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.133
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.115
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.043
Sporting CP attack strength 1.731
Sporting CP defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48