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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

41%

GIL Vicente

2.46

31%

Draw

3.22

28%

Santa Clara

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.00

0.88

Santa Clara xG

41%
31%
28%
GIL VicenteDrawSanta Clara

2.46

41%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

41%

GIL Vicente

2.41

33%

Santa Clara

3.07

Win to Nil

17%

GIL Vicente

5.93

9%

Santa Clara

10.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 11.9 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.1 13.3 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 7.5 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.121
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 2.002
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.122
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.927
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.021
Santa Clara attack strength 0.769
Santa Clara defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 25