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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

36%

GIL Vicente

2.81

28%

Draw

3.61

37%

Moreirense

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.40

1.21

Moreirense xG

36%
28%
37%
GIL VicenteDrawMoreirense

2.81

36%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

30%

GIL Vicente

3.36

31%

Moreirense

3.27

Win to Nil

11%

GIL Vicente

9.45

11%

Moreirense

8.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 11.0 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.7 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.186
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.397
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.174
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.773
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.134
Moreirense attack strength 0.909
Moreirense defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61