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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

34%

GIL Vicente

2.93

28%

Draw

3.55

38%

FC Porto

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.32

1.20

FC Porto xG

34%
28%
38%
GIL VicenteDrawFC Porto

2.93

34%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

30%

GIL Vicente

3.31

32%

FC Porto

3.08

Win to Nil

10%

GIL Vicente

9.70

12%

FC Porto

8.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 11.7 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.4 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.197
Total xG 2.322
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.176
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.855
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.996
FC Porto attack strength 1.022
FC Porto defence strength 0.950
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35