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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

34%

GIL Vicente

2.96

29%

Draw

3.48

38%

FC Porto

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.49

1.28

FC Porto xG

34%
29%
38%
GIL VicenteDrawFC Porto

2.96

34%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.67

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

28%

GIL Vicente

3.60

30%

FC Porto

3.33

Win to Nil

9%

GIL Vicente

10.67

11%

FC Porto

8.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.7 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.7 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.204
λ Away (xG) 1.282
Total xG 2.486
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.194
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.937
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.867
FC Porto attack strength 1.239
FC Porto defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51