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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Farense Win

26%

GIL Vicente

3.85

29%

Draw

3.47

45%

Farense

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.16

1.27

Farense xG

26%
29%
45%
GIL VicenteDrawFarense

3.85

26%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

28%

GIL Vicente

3.55

41%

Farense

2.43

Win to Nil

7%

GIL Vicente

13.67

19%

Farense

5.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 14.7 9.3 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 10.3 13.0 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.6 5.8 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.887
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 2.155
League avg home goals 1.242
League avg away goals 1.206
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.685
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.064
Farense attack strength 0.989
Farense defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64