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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

41%

GIL Vicente

2.43

25%

Draw

4.04

34%

Estoril

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.91

1.38

Estoril xG

41%
25%
34%
GIL VicenteDrawEstoril

2.43

41%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

25%

GIL Vicente

3.96

22%

Estoril

4.64

Win to Nil

10%

GIL Vicente

9.62

7%

Estoril

13.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 7.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.4 11.5 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.8 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.3 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 1.376
Total xG 2.910
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.254
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.919
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.911
Estoril attack strength 1.204
Estoril defence strength 1.309
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39