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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

51%

GIL Vicente

1.97

24%

Draw

4.18

25%

Estoril

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

3.03

1.22

Estoril xG

51%
24%
25%
GIL VicenteDrawEstoril

1.97

51%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

30%

GIL Vicente

3.38

16%

Estoril

6.10

Win to Nil

15%

GIL Vicente

6.65

4%

Estoril

24.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.9 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 8.8 10.7 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.8 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.809
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 3.027
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.155
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.058
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.863
Estoril attack strength 1.222
Estoril defence strength 1.215
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53