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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 2 Mar 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

36%

GIL Vicente

2.75

28%

Draw

3.51

35%

Benfica

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.49

1.23

Benfica xG

36%
28%
35%
GIL VicenteDrawBenfica

2.75

36%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

29%

GIL Vicente

3.42

28%

Benfica

3.51

Win to Nil

11%

GIL Vicente

9.42

10%

Benfica

9.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.2 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 12.9 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.6 8.1 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.7 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.256
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.185
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.228
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.823
Benfica attack strength 1.261
Benfica defence strength 0.666
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57