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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

29%

GIL Vicente

3.40

26%

Draw

3.80

44%

Benfica

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.55

1.43

Benfica xG

29%
26%
44%
GIL VicenteDrawBenfica

3.40

29%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

24%

GIL Vicente

4.19

33%

Benfica

3.05

Win to Nil

7%

GIL Vicente

14.26

15%

Benfica

6.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.2 8.0 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.2
3 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.116
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 2.549
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 1.101
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.847
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.044
Benfica attack strength 1.246
Benfica defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59