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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
31%
3.25
29%
3.45
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
13.2%
Away win
0 – 0
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
GIL Vicente xG
Total xG
2.20
1.19
Arouca xG
GIL VicenteDrawArouca
3.25
31%
Home win
3.45
29%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
30%
3.30
37%
2.73
Win to Nil
9%
10.72
15%
6.79
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 13.2 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.1 | 13.3 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.005
λ Away (xG)
1.194
Total xG
2.199
League avg home goals
1.295
League avg away goals
1.207
GIL Vicente attack strength
0.691
GIL Vicente defence strength
0.971
Arouca attack strength
1.018
Arouca defence strength
1.124
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66