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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

68%

GIL Vicente

1.47

20%

Draw

5.04

12%

Alverca

8.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

3.03

0.83

Alverca xG

68%
20%
12%
GIL VicenteDrawAlverca

1.47

68%

Home win

5.04

20%

Draw

8.20

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

44%

GIL Vicente

2.30

11%

Alverca

9.02

Win to Nil

30%

GIL Vicente

3.38

1%

Alverca

73.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.6 8.8 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 11.7 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.6 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.7 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.199
λ Away (xG) 0.831
Total xG 3.030
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.176
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.210
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.883
Alverca attack strength 0.800
Alverca defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25