🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FC Porto Win
79%
1.27
14%
7.27
7%
13.79
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.7%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
11.1%
Home win
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.63
FC Porto xG
Total xG
3.30
0.68
Tondela xG
FC PortoDrawTondela
1.27
79%
Home win
7.27
14%
Draw
13.79
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
42%
Over 3.5
2.38
58%
Under 3.5
1.72
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.19
54%
BTTS No
1.84
Clean Sheet
51%
1.97
7%
13.82
Win to Nil
40%
2.49
1%
190.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.7 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.626
λ Away (xG)
0.676
Total xG
3.302
League avg home goals
1.472
League avg away goals
1.147
FC Porto attack strength
1.273
FC Porto defence strength
0.761
Tondela attack strength
0.773
Tondela defence strength
1.402
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 28