Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

47%

FC Porto

2.12

24%

Draw

4.11

28%

Sporting CP

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

FC Porto xG

Total xG

3.03

1.30

Sporting CP xG

47%
24%
28%
FC PortoDrawSporting CP

2.12

47%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

27%

FC Porto

3.67

18%

Sporting CP

5.64

Win to Nil

13%

FC Porto

7.78

5%

Sporting CP

19.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.3 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 8.4 10.9 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.4 6.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 5.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 3.030
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.180
FC Porto attack strength 1.385
FC Porto defence strength 0.671
Sporting CP attack strength 1.642
Sporting CP defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54