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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 2 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

47%

FC Porto

2.15

31%

Draw

3.24

23%

SC Braga

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.28

0.90

SC Braga xG

47%
31%
23%
FC PortoDrawSC Braga

2.15

47%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

41%

FC Porto

2.45

25%

SC Braga

4.00

Win to Nil

19%

FC Porto

5.26

6%

SC Braga

17.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 9.1 4.1 1.2 0.3
1 14.1 12.7 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 8.8 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.5 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.386
λ Away (xG) 0.896
Total xG 2.282
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.317
FC Porto attack strength 1.221
FC Porto defence strength 0.645
SC Braga attack strength 1.055
SC Braga defence strength 0.865
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43