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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

71%

FC Porto

1.40

19%

Draw

5.29

10%

Santa Clara

10.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

3 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.79

0.66

Santa Clara xG

71%
19%
FC PortoDrawSanta Clara

1.40

71%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

10.27

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

52%

FC Porto

1.93

12%

Santa Clara

8.47

Win to Nil

37%

FC Porto

2.70

1%

Santa Clara

87.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 13.1 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
2 14.0 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 10.0 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 5.3 3.5 1.1 0.2
5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.137
λ Away (xG) 0.655
Total xG 2.792
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.174
FC Porto attack strength 1.501
FC Porto defence strength 0.617
Santa Clara attack strength 0.904
Santa Clara defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18