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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

74%

FC Porto

1.36

17%

Draw

5.81

9%

Rio Ave

10.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

3 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.88

0.65

Rio Ave xG

74%
17%
FC PortoDrawRio Ave

1.36

74%

Home win

5.81

17%

Draw

10.78

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

52%

FC Porto

1.91

11%

Rio Ave

9.29

Win to Nil

38%

FC Porto

2.60

1%

Rio Ave

100.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 12.6 8.1 2.6 0.6 0.1
2 14.0 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 10.4 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 5.8 3.8 1.2 0.3
5 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.229
λ Away (xG) 0.647
Total xG 2.876
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.223
FC Porto attack strength 1.137
FC Porto defence strength 0.625
Rio Ave attack strength 0.847
Rio Ave defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56