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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 26 Jan 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

48%

FC Porto

2.09

29%

Draw

3.43

23%

GIL Vicente

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.05

0.78

GIL Vicente xG

48%
29%
23%
FC PortoDrawGIL Vicente

2.09

48%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

46%

FC Porto

2.18

28%

GIL Vicente

3.56

Win to Nil

22%

FC Porto

4.55

6%

GIL Vicente

15.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 10.0 3.9 1.0 0.2
1 16.3 12.8 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.4 8.1 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 0.781
Total xG 2.051
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.245
FC Porto attack strength 1.071
FC Porto defence strength 0.644
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.974
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52