Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

20:30

Venue

Estádio Do Dragão

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

65%

FC Porto

1.53

21%

Draw

4.74

14%

Boavista

7.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

FC Porto xG

Total xG

2.73

0.77

Boavista xG

65%
21%
14%
FC PortoDrawBoavista

1.53

65%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

7.37

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

46%

FC Porto

2.15

14%

Boavista

7.13

Win to Nil

30%

FC Porto

3.30

2%

Boavista

52.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 9.8 3.8 1.0 0.2
2 12.6 9.6 3.7 0.9 0.2
3 8.2 6.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.964
λ Away (xG) 0.767
Total xG 2.731
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.116
FC Porto attack strength 1.418
FC Porto defence strength 0.664
Boavista attack strength 1.035
Boavista defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49