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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

29%

Farense

3.40

35%

Draw

2.85

36%

Santa Clara

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

17.1%

Away win

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Farense xG

Total xG

1.62

0.86

Santa Clara xG

29%
35%
36%
FarenseDrawSanta Clara

3.40

29%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

48%

Over 1.5

2.08

52%

Under 1.5

1.92

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.27

69%

BTTS No

1.44

Clean Sheet

42%

Farense

2.37

47%

Santa Clara

2.13

Win to Nil

12%

Farense

8.05

17%

Santa Clara

5.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.8 17.1 7.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 15.0 12.9 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 5.7 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.755
λ Away (xG) 0.862
Total xG 1.617
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
Farense attack strength 0.640
Farense defence strength 0.984
Santa Clara attack strength 0.720
Santa Clara defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33