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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Farense Win

42%

Farense

2.39

31%

Draw

3.25

27%

Rio Ave

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Farense xG

Total xG

2.13

0.92

Rio Ave xG

42%
31%
27%
FarenseDrawRio Ave

2.39

42%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

40%

Farense

2.52

30%

Rio Ave

3.35

Win to Nil

17%

Farense

6.01

8%

Rio Ave

12.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 11.0 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.3 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.208
λ Away (xG) 0.923
Total xG 2.131
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.195
Farense attack strength 0.797
Farense defence strength 1.093
Rio Ave attack strength 0.707
Rio Ave defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52