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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

22%

Farense

4.47

29%

Draw

3.49

49%

Famalicao

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Farense xG

Total xG

2.09

1.31

Famalicao xG

22%
29%
49%
FarenseDrawFamalicao

4.47

22%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

27%

Farense

3.70

46%

Famalicao

2.19

Win to Nil

6%

Farense

16.52

22%

Famalicao

4.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 16.1 10.6 4.6 1.5 0.4
1 9.7 12.7 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 3.8 5.0 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
3 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.784
λ Away (xG) 1.308
Total xG 2.092
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.206
Farense attack strength 0.541
Farense defence strength 1.014
Famalicao attack strength 1.070
Famalicao defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65