🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
27%
3.68
27%
3.69
46%
2.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.7%
Away win
0 – 0
9.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Farense xG
Total xG
2.39
1.39
Casa Pia xG
FarenseDrawCasa Pia
3.68
27%
Home win
3.69
27%
Draw
2.19
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.11
53%
BTTS No
1.90
Clean Sheet
25%
4.00
37%
2.73
Win to Nil
7%
14.70
17%
5.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 12.7 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.8 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.003
λ Away (xG)
1.386
Total xG
2.389
League avg home goals
1.329
League avg away goals
1.200
Farense attack strength
0.619
Farense defence strength
1.125
Casa Pia attack strength
1.026
Casa Pia defence strength
1.220
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61