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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boavista Win

29%

Farense

3.50

33%

Draw

3.03

38%

Boavista

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.80

Farense xG

Total xG

1.77

0.98

Boavista xG

29%
33%
38%
FarenseDrawBoavista

3.50

29%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.92

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

38%

Farense

2.66

45%

Boavista

2.22

Win to Nil

11%

Farense

9.29

17%

Boavista

5.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0 16.6 8.1 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 13.2 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 5.4 5.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.797
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 1.774
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.191
Farense attack strength 0.578
Farense defence strength 1.015
Boavista attack strength 0.808
Boavista defence strength 1.089
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63