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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Farense Win

36%

Farense

2.79

33%

Draw

3.07

32%

AVS

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Farense xG

Total xG

1.98

0.95

AVS xG

36%
33%
32%
FarenseDrawAVS

2.79

36%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

39%

Farense

2.59

36%

AVS

2.81

Win to Nil

14%

Farense

7.23

11%

AVS

8.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 13.1 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.2 13.5 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 7.0 3.3 1.1 0.3
3 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.033
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 1.985
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 1.129
Farense attack strength 0.684
Farense defence strength 1.219
AVS attack strength 0.692
AVS defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23