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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

63%

Famalicao

1.59

22%

Draw

4.56

15%

Tondela

6.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.65

0.79

Tondela xG

63%
22%
15%
FamalicaoDrawTondela

1.59

63%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

6.56

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

46%

Famalicao

2.19

16%

Tondela

6.42

Win to Nil

29%

Famalicao

3.49

2%

Tondela

42.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 10.4 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 7.6 6.0 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.860
λ Away (xG) 0.786
Total xG 2.646
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.278
Famalicao attack strength 1.087
Famalicao defence strength 0.888
Tondela attack strength 0.693
Tondela defence strength 1.178
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18