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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

35%

Famalicao

2.82

27%

Draw

3.64

37%

Sporting CP

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.43

1.23

Sporting CP xG

35%
27%
37%
FamalicaoDrawSporting CP

2.82

35%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

29%

Famalicao

3.43

30%

Sporting CP

3.32

Win to Nil

10%

Famalicao

9.68

11%

Sporting CP

8.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.8 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.8 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 1.233
Total xG 2.432
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.194
Famalicao attack strength 1.075
Famalicao defence strength 0.718
Sporting CP attack strength 1.439
Sporting CP defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38