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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

34%

Famalicao

2.92

33%

Draw

3.06

33%

SC Braga

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.82

0.90

SC Braga xG

34%
33%
33%
FamalicaoDrawSC Braga

2.92

34%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

41%

Famalicao

2.45

40%

SC Braga

2.51

Win to Nil

14%

Famalicao

7.14

13%

SC Braga

7.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 14.6 6.5 2.0 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.9 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.920
λ Away (xG) 0.896
Total xG 1.816
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.215
Famalicao attack strength 1.110
Famalicao defence strength 0.718
SC Braga attack strength 1.027
SC Braga defence strength 0.672
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64