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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 10 Apr 2026

20:45

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

56%

Famalicao

1.79

25%

Draw

3.94

19%

Moreirense

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.36

0.79

Moreirense xG

56%
25%
19%
FamalicaoDrawMoreirense

1.79

56%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

45%

Famalicao

2.20

21%

Moreirense

4.80

Win to Nil

25%

Famalicao

3.95

4%

Moreirense

25.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 7.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.8 11.7 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.6 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 6.1 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.568
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 2.358
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.156
Famalicao attack strength 1.034
Famalicao defence strength 0.751
Moreirense attack strength 0.909
Moreirense defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62