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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

34%

Famalicao

2.99

32%

Draw

3.09

34%

Moreirense

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.05

1.03

Moreirense xG

34%
32%
34%
FamalicaoDrawMoreirense

2.99

34%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

36%

Famalicao

2.80

36%

Moreirense

2.76

Win to Nil

12%

Famalicao

8.36

12%

Moreirense

8.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 13.3 6.8 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.1 13.5 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.047
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.157
Famalicao attack strength 0.662
Famalicao defence strength 0.902
Moreirense attack strength 0.988
Moreirense defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56