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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

31%

Famalicao

3.25

33%

Draw

3.06

37%

Guimaraes

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.93

1.02

Guimaraes xG

31%
33%
37%
FamalicaoDrawGuimaraes

3.25

31%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

36%

Famalicao

2.77

40%

Guimaraes

2.48

Win to Nil

11%

Famalicao

8.99

15%

Guimaraes

6.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5 14.8 7.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.0 6.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.910
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 1.928
League avg home goals 1.423
League avg away goals 1.198
Famalicao attack strength 0.683
Famalicao defence strength 0.957
Guimaraes attack strength 0.887
Guimaraes defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54