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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

47%

Famalicao

2.14

27%

Draw

3.72

26%

GIL Vicente

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.40

0.99

GIL Vicente xG

47%
27%
26%
FamalicaoDrawGIL Vicente

2.14

47%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

37%

Famalicao

2.69

24%

GIL Vicente

4.10

Win to Nil

17%

Famalicao

5.75

6%

GIL Vicente

15.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.0 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.8 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.9 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.410
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.398
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.227
Famalicao attack strength 1.198
Famalicao defence strength 0.781
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.030
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.837
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36