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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

25%

Famalicao

3.97

33%

Draw

3.04

42%

FC Porto

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.19

1.26

FC Porto xG

25%
33%
42%
FamalicaoDrawFC Porto

3.97

25%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

28%

Famalicao

3.53

40%

FC Porto

2.53

Win to Nil

7%

Famalicao

14.00

17%

FC Porto

6.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 14.1 8.9 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 10.4 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.8 6.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.928
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 2.189
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.312
Famalicao attack strength 1.006
Famalicao defence strength 0.685
FC Porto attack strength 1.403
FC Porto defence strength 0.693
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44