Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

41%

Famalicao

2.45

34%

Draw

2.97

26%

Farense

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

18.1%

Home win

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.70

0.71

Farense xG

41%
34%
26%
FamalicaoDrawFarense

2.45

41%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.14

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

49%

Famalicao

2.03

37%

Farense

2.68

Win to Nil

20%

Famalicao

4.98

10%

Farense

10.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.3 13.0 4.6 1.1 0.2
1 18.1 12.8 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 8.9 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.5 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.986
λ Away (xG) 0.710
Total xG 1.696
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 1.103
Famalicao attack strength 0.717
Famalicao defence strength 0.856
Farense attack strength 0.751
Farense defence strength 0.973
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48