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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

43%

Famalicao

2.31

31%

Draw

3.23

26%

Estrela

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.08

0.87

Estrela xG

43%
31%
26%
FamalicaoDrawEstrela

2.31

43%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

42%

Famalicao

2.39

30%

Estrela

3.36

Win to Nil

18%

Famalicao

5.52

8%

Estrela

13.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.8 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.1 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.7 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 0.871
Total xG 2.083
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.195
Famalicao attack strength 0.761
Famalicao defence strength 1.037
Estrela attack strength 0.703
Estrela defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52