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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

40%

Famalicao

2.48

28%

Draw

3.59

32%

Estoril

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.50

1.16

Estoril xG

40%
28%
32%
FamalicaoDrawEstoril

2.48

40%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

31%

Famalicao

3.20

26%

Estoril

3.82

Win to Nil

13%

Famalicao

7.93

8%

Estoril

12.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.8 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.4 8.5 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.502
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.284
Famalicao attack strength 0.946
Famalicao defence strength 0.795
Estoril attack strength 1.138
Estoril defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47