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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

44%

Famalicao

2.25

25%

Draw

3.95

30%

Estoril

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.73

1.21

Estoril xG

44%
25%
30%
FamalicaoDrawEstoril

2.25

44%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

30%

Famalicao

3.36

22%

Estoril

4.56

Win to Nil

13%

Famalicao

7.57

7%

Estoril

15.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.9 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.9 12.0 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.1 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.8 4.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.518
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.729
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.194
Famalicao attack strength 0.995
Famalicao defence strength 0.806
Estoril attack strength 1.258
Estoril defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62