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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

54%

Famalicao

1.85

27%

Draw

3.71

19%

Casa Pia

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.17

0.73

Casa Pia xG

54%
27%
19%
FamalicaoDrawCasa Pia

1.85

54%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

48%

Famalicao

2.08

24%

Casa Pia

4.21

Win to Nil

26%

Famalicao

3.84

5%

Casa Pia

22.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 8.4 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 16.5 12.0 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 11.8 8.6 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 5.7 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 0.730
Total xG 2.168
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.217
Famalicao attack strength 1.063
Famalicao defence strength 0.742
Casa Pia attack strength 0.809
Casa Pia defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67