Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

47%

Famalicao

2.11

33%

Draw

3.05

20%

AVS

5.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

18.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.67

0.59

AVS xG

47%
33%
20%
FamalicaoDrawAVS

2.11

47%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

5.06

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

50%

Over 1.5

2.00

50%

Under 1.5

2.00

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.40

71%

BTTS No

1.42

Clean Sheet

56%

Famalicao

1.80

34%

AVS

2.96

Win to Nil

26%

Famalicao

3.79

7%

AVS

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.8 11.0 3.2 0.6 0.1
1 20.4 12.0 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 11.1 6.5 1.9 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 2.4 0.7 0.1
4 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.086
λ Away (xG) 0.587
Total xG 1.673
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.123
Famalicao attack strength 0.770
Famalicao defence strength 0.781
AVS attack strength 0.669
AVS defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26