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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
19%
5.32
20%
4.99
61%
1.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.9%
Draw
0 – 2
8.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.14
Estrela xG
Total xG
3.34
2.19
Sporting CP xG
EstrelaDrawSporting CP
5.32
19%
Home win
4.99
20%
Draw
1.64
61%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
11%
8.97
32%
3.13
Win to Nil
2%
47.74
20%
5.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1 | 4.1 | 8.9 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 2 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.142
λ Away (xG)
2.194
Total xG
3.336
League avg home goals
1.518
League avg away goals
1.166
Estrela attack strength
0.993
Estrela defence strength
1.202
Sporting CP attack strength
1.565
Sporting CP defence strength
0.758
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 61