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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

25%

Estrela

3.92

29%

Draw

3.47

46%

SC Braga

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Estrela xG

Total xG

2.30

1.36

SC Braga xG

25%
29%
46%
EstrelaDrawSC Braga

3.92

25%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

26%

Estrela

3.89

39%

SC Braga

2.58

Win to Nil

7%

Estrela

15.26

18%

SC Braga

5.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 13.6 9.2 4.2 1.4 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.5 6.1 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.946
λ Away (xG) 1.358
Total xG 2.304
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.261
Estrela attack strength 0.873
Estrela defence strength 0.923
SC Braga attack strength 1.167
SC Braga defence strength 0.769
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50